Ekonomi Indonesia mulai DEFLASI?
Updated: November 19, 2024
Summary
Prof. JWright Forester at MIT Sloan School of Management explains the Bullwhip Effect theory through the Beard Distribution game, showcasing supply chain fluctuations. A scenario in Konoha town illustrates the ripple effects of fluctuating demand throughout the supply chain. The video delves into the global economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, discussing economic freezes, unemployment surges, and efforts to stabilize aggregate demand. Supply chain issues in 2021, such as demand-supply imbalances leading to inflation in China and the US, are explored, along with the deflation crisis in China impacting global supply chains and the economic implications for Indonesia.
Introduction to Bullwhip Effect
Explanation of the Bullwhip Effect theory by Prof. JWright Forester at Mit slone School of Management.
Beard Distribution Game
Description of the Beard Distribution game created by Prof. Forester to illustrate the Bullwhip Effect in supply chain management.
Illustration of Bullwhip Effect
Illustration of the Bullwhip Effect theory through a scenario involving a small town named Konoha and its supply chain fluctuations.
Global Economic Impact of COVID-19
Discussion on the global economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, including the collapse of aggregate supply and demand.
Economic Freeze and Unemployment
Explanation of the economic freeze, unemployment surge, and efforts to stabilize aggregate demand through quantitative easing.
Supply Chain Issues in 2021
Exploration of the supply chain issues in 2021, including the imbalance between demand and supply leading to inflation in China and the US.
Deflation in China
Explanation of the deflation crisis in China, its impact on global supply chains, and the economic implications for Indonesia.
FAQ
Q: What is the Bullwhip Effect theory?
A: The Bullwhip Effect theory refers to the phenomenon where small fluctuations in demand at the consumer level can lead to large fluctuations in demand at the producer level in a supply chain.
Q: How is the Bullwhip Effect illustrated in the Beard Distribution game?
A: The Beard Distribution game, created by Prof. JWright Forester, demonstrates how small changes in customer demand can be amplified as they move up the supply chain, leading to inventory fluctuations and inefficiencies.
Q: Can you explain the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global economics?
A: The COVID-19 pandemic caused a collapse in both aggregate supply and demand, leading to economic freeze, a surge in unemployment, and significant disruptions in supply chains worldwide.
Q: What is quantitative easing and how is it used to stabilize aggregate demand?
A: Quantitative easing is a monetary policy tool used by central banks to inject money into the economy, lower interest rates, and stimulate spending to stabilize aggregate demand during times of economic downturn.
Q: What are the supply chain issues faced in 2021?
A: In 2021, one of the key supply chain issues was the imbalance between demand and supply, particularly in China and the US, leading to inflationary pressures and challenges in meeting consumer needs.
Q: What is the deflation crisis in China and how does it affect global supply chains?
A: The deflation crisis in China refers to a situation where prices are continuously falling, leading to reduced profits for businesses and potential destabilization of global supply chains as production costs decrease.
Q: How do the economic implications of the deflation crisis in China impact Indonesia?
A: The economic implications of the deflation crisis in China for Indonesia could include reduced demand for Indonesian exports, decreased competitiveness due to lower prices in China, and potential disruptions in trade flows.
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